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NASA Headquarters Responsible Official: Tony Springer

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Envisioning 2025: Inside the JPDO Futures Workshop

The VISION 100 FAA reauthorization bill (P.L. 108-176) provided for the creation of a small and focused Joint Planning and Development Office (JPDO). Working in close collaboration with the Departments of Transportation, Commerce, Defense, and Homeland Security, the FAA, NASA, the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, and other experts from the public and private sectors, the JPDO has developed a National Plan for the Next Generation Air Transportation System. This plan represents a joint government-industry business plan for the aviation system of the future. The JPDO will ensure that planning and execution of the plan are coordinated across government and industry. The JPDO is using a variety of mechanisms to continue in its strategic and tactical planning activities. Below is a report of one recent workshop.

In late September, a group of executives met in Colorado for the JPDO's "Transportation Users Futures Workshop" to consider how different future "scenarios" could affect the aviation industry and their businesses. Representatives from shippers, meeting management firms, travel agencies, corporate travel departments, state travel bureaus, new or non-traditional aircraft manufacturers, and local airports participated. At the workshop, participants delved into potential future scenarios to understand what actions might be taken now to best meet these future situations. Scenarios are "pictures" of the plausible conditions that could result, on a global scale, from combinations of social, political, economic, and environmental factors.

The process of scenario planning helps participants anticipate a range of future threats and opportunities and thus, manage some of the uncertainty in their businesses. According to Charles W. Thomas of The Future Strategy Group LLC, "It provides a unique window into future business conditions, enterprise requirements, and issues." The JPDO also used Thomas' group for scenario workshops with representatives of the Federal government and aviation industry to draft the initial air transportation system transformation strategies.

In Colorado, participants were assigned to work on one of several future scenarios designed by the JPDO in the spring of 2004. Each team worked to consider what their industry needs would be in that future, and to advise the JPDO on what aviation system characteristics or capabilities would best match their needs. A list of the characteristics that worked across all or most of the future scenarios was compiled and submitted to the JPDO. With this information and the insights and perspectives of the users, decision-makers can "think" a decade or more into the future and develop more robust strategies for needed technologies, different operational practices, and policy changes, rather than a "simple" extrapolation of today's trends.

After a brief hiatus, the JPDO plans to restart these future user needs workshops. They have proven a popular and meaningful approach for stakeholder involvement and have provided interesting insights on the future aviation marketplace. Additional workshops will focus on logistics and supply chains, coordination with radio spectrum allocation efforts, state & local markets, port authorities, financial services interests, security, and others.

JPDO Website: http://www.jpdo.aero

Additional Background: http://www.centerforcollaboration.net/jpdo/overview.html

National Plan: www.jpdo.aero/NGATS_v1.pdf (5.9MB)