Statement of Daniel S. Goldin, Administrator
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
before the
Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics
Committee on Science
House of Representatives
February 24, 1999
Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee:
I am pleased to be here to present to you NASA's budget request for FY
2000. It is a great time at NASA. This budget is the first budget for
the 21st Century, a century in which humans will live
permanently in space, on the International Space Station, and later
perhaps beyond. Before we look ahead to the bright future, I want to lay
the foundation by looking at the past. Our achievements, and yes, our
problems, have prepared us for the future.
While the FY 2000 request represents a decrease from the FY 1999 enacted
level, it is the first budget in five years which reflects an increase
in the outyears. NASA has undertaken the challenge of the past five
years by becoming more efficient. By prioritizing and, as required,
cutting programs whose cost estimates were unrealistically low,
schedules unacceptably long, or objectives no longer relevant to our
mission, we saved valuable resources. With those savings, we started 9
new programs, like Origins, which could help us to answer fundamental
questions about life in the universe, and Advanced Space Transportation,
which could revolutionize space travel. The percentage of our budget
devoted to science and technology has increased from 31% in FY 1991 to
41% today, and is planned to grow to 45% in FY 2004. At the same time,
the percentage of our budget devoted to human spaceflight has declined
from 48% in FY 1991 to 40% today, and is projected to decline to 35% by
FY 2004. As a result, our budget is much more balanced.
We have made difficult choices to enable us to move toward an ambitious,
but achievable, future.
We are managing our programs in a fiscally responsible manner. In 1992,
a General Accounting Office survey of our major programs identified an
average cost growth of 77%. We aggressively attacked the problem, and
through management oversight, cost-cutting efficiencies and identifying
the problems, have created positive results. Cassini, Mars Global
Surveyor, Mars '98 Orbiter, Mars '98 Lander, Stardust, NEAR, ACE, and
Mars Pathfinder have all been launched on time and within budget.
We continue to find efficiencies in operations while we improve safety;
from FY 1993 to FY 1998, the annual Shuttle budget is down 29%, while
the measures of Shuttle safety and performance have improved
dramatically. I am proud of the NASA-contractor team that made this
happen. Over the same time period, we have improved the manifest lead
time by 28%, and increased the maximum lift capacity to the
International Space Station by 71%.
Some of my favorite metrics are associated with science spacecraft
design and development. In the early 1990s, the average cost of
spacecraft development was $590 million. From FY 1995 to FY 1999, it is
$205 million, and our goal for FY 2000 to FY 2004 is $79 million.
Development time has come down dramatically. In the early 1990s, the
average development time for spacecraft was eight years. From FY 1995 to
FY 1999, it is five years, and for FY 2000 to FY 2004 our goal is four
years. Our annual flight rate went from two in the early 1990s to seven
in FY 1995-1999, and we plan on fourteen flights a year on average from
FY 2000 to FY 2004. The missions are exciting, as attested to by
extensive media coverage and hits on NASA's World Wide Web site, and
scientifically sound.
We're not just talking about improvements, we're implementing them. Our
Discovery series of spacecraft must be developed in less than three
years and for less than $150 million (FY 1992 dollars). Stardust,
launched this month to gather and return samples from a comet, took 27
months to develop and cost $120 million. We have 11 planetary spacecraft
that, together, cost the same as the single Galileo spacecraft.
We have changed NASA as an institution. In 1995 we conducted a Zero Base
Review (ZBR) which created Lead Centers and Centers of Excellence. This
led to the elimination of redundant capability at our Centers and allows
each Center to focus on what it does best. We redefined the role of
Headquarters to define "what" NASA should do, and leave it to the
Centers to figure out "how" to make it happen. We met our goal of
cutting the total Government/contractor workforce at Headquarters by a
factor of three, including cutting the civil servant staff in half. The
total NASA workforce has come down from about 25,000 in FY 1993 to
18,545 for FY 1999.
We established a Program Management Council to catch cost overruns and
schedule problems, and it is working in programs like Chandra, Clark,
and X-33/RLV. Our new approach to contracting, holding contractors
accountable for delivering on budget and on schedule, is working in
programs like SFOC, CSOC and the TDRS-Hughes contract.
Within NASA, I have established safety as our most important core value.
The safety ethic will permeate all NASA activities, on the ground, in
the air and in space. Our current program is good; however, we can and
will do better. I am working to ensure that all NASA managers understand
what is expected of them when it comes to safety and health. Our
managers and employees are stepping up to the challenge and working to
identify and correct any deficiencies in safety and health as these are
identified. No compromises shall be made when lives are at stake.
We at NASA are proud of our Strategic Plan. We have a vision for the
Agency and roadmaps to get there. We look forward to working with this
committee and others in the coming year as we revise and refine our
Strategic Plan. Our FY 2000 Performance Plan, which will be sent to you
shortly, will include interim adjustments to our 1998 Strategic Plan.
These changes reflect a special emphasis on safety and changes we have
made in the NASA organization. Under the Government Performance and
Results Act (GPRA), a fully updated Strategic Plan must be submitted by
September 30, 2000. We intend to get an early start and will be working
with you to enable the Committee's full participation in this process.
GPRA, through its requirements for strategic and performance plans, has
provided a structure for NASA to prove to the American taxpayer that we
do what we say, and that what we do matters.
In order to assure that NASA can implement its Strategic Plan, we have
underway a Core Capabilities Assessment, led by the Chief Engineer. The
purpose of the assessment is to identify the physical and human assets
required to deliver on the established Mission Areas and Center of
Excellence assignments identified in the Strategic Plan. We will use the
results of the assessment in formulating the FY 2001 budget.
We had a very exciting year in 1998, full of new discoveries and heroes,
and a celebration to commemorate our 40th anniversary. The
sun rose on the International Space Station with the launch of the first
element, Zarya (Sunrise), in November, and the world watched as
our astronauts connected the U.S. Unity node to it in December. John
Glenn returned to space in October for a nine-day research mission. We
now have images of the faintest galaxies ever seen. We launched the Mars
Climate Orbiter, the third mission to that planet in as many years. The
Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission, a cooperative mission with Japan
launched last year, will revolutionize our knowledge of how storms and
hurricanes form and dissipate and enable new weather forecasting
methods. The U.S.-Canadian Radarsat created the first detailed radar map
of Antarctica. We took atmospheric flight to new heights as the remotely
piloted Pathfinder aircraft surpassed 80,000 feet. We continued to push
the technology to lower space launch costs, making the first selection
under the new Future-X program, which is the next step in the space
access revolution. This is just a sampling; I will discuss in more
detail the achievements of NASA's Enterprises later in the statement.
We see where we have been; where are we going from here?
In five years, the International Space Station (ISS) will be complete
and serving as an outpost for humans to develop, use, and explore the
space frontier. The ISS will greatly expand research opportunities,
leading to exploration breakthroughs, scientific discoveries, technology
development and new space products. We will continue to safely fly the
Space Shuttle - the workhorse to support assembly for the Space Station.
While we do this, we will make fundamental decisions on the long-range
strategy for sustaining human access to space through upgrades to the
Space Shuttle, or through replacement of the Space Shuttle. We will stay
on the road to commercializing space operations, including space
transportation, space communications, and the International Space
Station. As we transition from operations to core R&D functions, we
will lay the groundwork for decisions on extending human presence beyond
Earth orbit.
In Space Science, we are poised on the edge of a new undertaking aimed
at helping us answer some very old questions: What is our place in the
cosmos? How did we get here? Are we alone? You first heard about the
Origins program a few years ago. It is time to turn Origins into a
reality. In the not-too-distant future, we will move from the planning
stages to actual launch and operations of a number of Origins missions.
These missions include powerful telescopes to find the earliest
structure in the universe, to search for planets around other stars, and
to look for potential evidence of life on these newly discovered
planets. They also include robotic probes to Mars, Europa, and other
targets in the search for the beginnings of life in the backyard of our
own solar system. The data gathered from these new missions combined
with what we continue to learn about the mysteries of the deep universe
and our own Sun from ongoing missions should help us begin to unravel
the answers to these questions that are as old as humankind itself. Our
goal is simple - to do what no generation before us has been able to -
understand our place in the cosmos.
Closer to home, through the Earth Science Enterprise (ESE) we will
develop a comprehensive understanding of the total Earth system and the
effects of natural and human-induced changes on the global environment.
To accomplish this, we are drastically shrinking the size, cost and
development time for missions in the next decade. But NASA is not going
to stop with just smaller, cheaper versions of today's science
satellites or be confined to low-Earth orbit. The state-of-the-art in
instrument and spacecraft technologies points to the near future when
present-day thousand kilogram, cubic meter satellites are replaced by
constellations of micro and nano-satellites with instruments on chips.
These advanced satellites will not operate independently of each
otherthey will be intelligent constellations working together to
provide the views having the temporal and spatial resolutions users
want. They will be capable of on-board data processing and direct
downlink of information to users' desktop computers in near real time at
the cost of long distance telephone calls. While accomplishing our
science objectives, these advanced satellites will enable the next great
advances in weather and climate prediction, improve agricultural
productivity, and advance the growth of the U.S. commercial remote
sensing industry.
With the Aero-Space Technology Enterprise, NASA seeks nothing less than
to revolutionize the way we travel to neighboring cities, countries and
planets. The benefits of the communication revolution we are living
through today will only be fully realized when it is accompanied by a
transportation revolution. In a "wired" economy, we need to move people
and goods more safely, more quickly, more efficiently, and with less
environmental impact. Today, NASA is concentrating on these public goods
issues in partnership with the aviation community. Working with the
Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), airlines and industry, we are
going to create a commercial aviation system that is safer, more
efficient and friendlier to our communities and our globe. And while we
are revolutionizing aviation, by significantly reducing the cost and
increasing the reliability of space transportation, we will open space
to human endeavor. Think of the science missions we do today, and then
imagine space transportation systems that support faster missions with
three or four times the amount of science at lower cost. Imagine the
commercial opportunities that will develop in earth orbit for
communications, materials science and pharmaceuticals, space-based power
and other applications when the cost is one tenth or even one hundredth
of today's costs. That is what we are working for.
We understand the road ahead presents challenges. First among these is
keeping our promises on key programs such as International Space Station
and the Earth Observing System. This will require in the first case
flexibility and determination, and in the second case new information
technologies and management approaches. Another challenge is within NASA
itself: the design of the NASA organization, the skills of our
workforce, the availability of research and technical facilities, the
evolution of existing assets, and our interactions with customers,
partners, and suppliers must reflect and support the changing nature of
our programs. For instance, the emergence of "virtual" structures -
collaborative and geographically dispersed teams - to conduct work
requires new concepts of organization and management. And our emphasis
on commercializing operations while focusing on R&D requires new
ways of dealing with customers, partners and suppliers. The third major
challenge I see for NASA is that of "continued relevance."
Fundamentally, NASA needs to continue to benefit the taxpayers who foot
the bill for a vibrant aeronautics and space program. To meet this
challenge, we need to remain focused on our ultimate customer, the
taxpayer, while doing a better job communicating the outcomes and
benefits of our programs. Mr. Chairman, I believe NASA is poised to meet
these challenges and achieve our vision for the future.
FY 2000 Budget
This budget is another important step on NASA's path back to its roots
in research and development, an important step towards achieving the
vision I just laid out. The FY 2000 budget provides stability in the
outyears, and strikes a balance between upholding our commitment to the
International Space Station (ISS) and advancing research and technology.
All of you are aware of the challenges facing us and our International
Partners on the ISS program. This budget reflects an Administration
policy decision to reduce the level of risk to the ISS with a net
increase of $1.4 billion over the next five years, including $349
million more for FY 2000 alone. We have enhanced Station budget
reserves, are developing a robust Russian Contingency Plan, which
includes use of the Shuttle for ISS reboost, development of a U.S.
propulsion module, and additional Shuttle launches for logistics
support. While advancing the ISS, we have preserved NASA's other core
research activities and are investing in new technology initiatives that
will provide robust options for exciting NASA missions in the next
decade.
As ISS brightens the sky, so will many, many science missions funded in
this budget. We are in the middle of launching ten Space Science
missions in nine months. With the funds provided by the Administration
in this budget, we will be developing Self-Sustaining Robotic Networks.
Building on the enormous success of Mars Pathfinder, these self-tasking,
self-repairing, evolvable networks of small, highly mobile machines will
give us the permanent "virtual presence" outposts we need to achieve
high priority Origins science objectives on Mars, Europa, Titan,
Callisto and other key points throughout the solar system. Thanks to
Administration investments, we will also be developing the other end of
the spacecraft technology spectrum in Gossamer Spacecraft. These are
lightweight, large-scale, deployable spacecraft that will enable
revolutionary, light-gathering capabilities for solar sails, telescopes,
and power collection. Through Mars Micro-Missions and a Mars Network,
the Administration is also supporting enhancements to the baseline Mars
Surveyor program that greatly increase the quality and quantity of the
Program's science return and the Program's opportunities in public
education and exploration.
We will launch eight Earth Science missions this year, including the
first two Earth Observing System missions. NASA will continue to
contribute to the "Digital Earth" effort, by fusing Earth Science data,
socio-economic data, and other data sets that can be "geo-referenced"
and used to communicate a tremendous amount of information to scientists
and non-scientists.
A broad new technology initiative I am particularly excited about is the
Intelligent Synthesis Environment (ISE) that will revolutionize the way
NASA conceives, plans, and develops its missions. In today's engineering
environment, we and industry take too long to develop our missions and
effectively commit about 90% of cost very early in the development cycle
when we only have about 10% of total design knowledge. Over the next
five years NASA will research, develop, and implement the tools and
processes to dramatically reduce spacecraft development time while
creating much higher confidence in performance and total life cycle cost
estimates. ISE will exploit emerging advances in ultra-high speed
computing, advanced communication networks and totally new analysis
methods; it will allow us to "virtually" build and test vehicles and
systems before we spend money on expensive hardware. When fully
deployed, ISE will enable geographically dispersed scientists and
engineers to function as an integrated, collaborative team with the
understanding and knowledge necessary to develop complex missions
faster, with better- understood risk and much lower life-cycle costs.
We are continuing to focus on high-priority aeronautics research,
aggressively pursuing our goals in aviation safety and systems capacity
as well as next-generation design tools. And our pursuit of cheaper,
more reliable space transportation for the next century continues with
our Reusable Launch Vehicle technology program and the ongoing,
industry-led Space Transportation Architecture Study. This Study was
initiated last year to help us develop an investment strategy for
reducing the cost of access to space by using commercial capabilities.
The study is assessing: 1) if the Space Shuttle should be replaced; 2)
if so, when the replacement should take place and how the transition
should be implemented; and 3) if not, what upgrades should be made to
continue safe and affordable flight of the Space Shuttle. We awarded
study contracts to the Boeing Corporation, Kelly Space and Technology,
Lockheed Martin Corporation, Orbital Sciences Corporation, and Space
Access - representing the entire spectrum of players in the launch
vehicle business - to solicit their assessments of future options to
commercialize NASA's space launch requirements. The industry teams gave
NASA their final reports three weeks ago. These results are being
independently assessed and will be integrated by an in-house team into
space transportation architecture options. Over the next few months,
additional work will be tasked to refine and further develop some of
these options. From these options, the NASA Space Transportation Council
will make recommendations this summer to myself and the Administration
concerning a future space transportation investment strategy. I will
then make recommendations to the Administration this fall as part of the
FY 2001 budget process.
As we approach the new millennium, I would like to describe NASA's work
on the Year 2000 (Y2K) problem. We have taken aggressive actions to
ensure that our missions, systems, and supporting infrastructure and
facilities are not disrupted by the transition to the year 2000. As of
January 31, 1999, 87 percent of our 158 mission critical systems are Y2K
compliant. NASA has completed renovation on all but one system (Y2K work
on the SOHO ground system has been deferred until full recovery of the
spacecraft on orbit is complete). Validation was completed on all but
two mission critical systems in January. As of today, both of these
systems have completed validation. Our plans meet or are ahead of
Government-wide guidelines for implementation. Ninety-eight percent of
NASA mission critical systems will be implemented by February; all will
be implemented and certified as compliant by March 1999.
Our priority remains focused on the Y2K readiness of NASA missions and
programs. We are working aggressively with our international partners to
resolve any potential Y2K impacts. During April to July 1999, NASA
programs and projects will ensure Y2K operational readiness that is
validated and certified through end-to-end testing or high fidelity
simulation. This includes the International Space Station, the Space
Shuttle program, Space and Earth Science programs, and NASA's mission
operations and communications services. As a further assurance, each
NASA Enterprise and field Center is preparing business
continuity/contingency plans to provide an acceptable level of NASA
functions in the event of failures of internal or external assets or
services due to Y2K anomalies. NASA is committed to ensure that the
Agency transitions safely to the new millennium with zero failures or
significant malfunctions and that any unforeseen discrepancies are
resolved with minimal impact on normal operations.
We are excited about what the future holds for NASA. The FY 2000 budget
of $13.6 billion provides not only continuity and stability, but also a
moderate investment in far-term technologies and planning. This vote of
confidence from the President that we are ready and energized to tackle
new challenges in the new millennium is a challenge we proudly accept.
NASA's Enterprises
Human Exploration and Development of Space Enterprise
International Space
Station The International Space Station (ISS) has become a
reality. The foundation, befittingly named Zarya, for it marks the dawn
of a new era, was lifted to orbit aboard a Russian Proton launch vehicle
last November. A month later, Unity was carried to orbit aboard Shuttle
Endeavour and berthed with the Zarya module. Before long, passageways
from Unity will link to other chambers such as: Destiny, the U.S.
laboratory; the Russian Service Module; and the airlock.
Astronauts James Newman and Jerry Ross made it look easy, connecting
umbilicals providing power and communication links from Zarya to Unity,
bringing Unity's on-board systems to life. This is the first time ever
that two such complex international spacecraft--built 10,000 miles
apart, and assembled permanently in orbit over a period of a few short
dayshas been accomplished. We understood that the complex,
international nature of this venture would present unprecedented
challenges, because we would not be able to perform integrated testing
of all international elements on the ground. The Zarya/Unity mating was
truly an outstanding effort by the NASA/RSA team. Many challenges were
overcome to reach that moment, and we know that many formidable tasks
lay ahead. Since the beginning of the International Space Station
Program, we have worked through many questions and uncertainties with
our partners to achieve definite, measurable, and notable forward
progress. In 1994, we were moving out of the design phase and into
manufacturing. By 1997, we began to see major subsystems and elements
take shape as we entered into test and validation activities. We began
to integrate these systems with the Shuttle fleet. Today, while the
Boeing developmental effort is over 80% complete, we continue to have
elements in all phases of development, and operational elements on
orbit. The International Team has demonstrated that it is fully
committed to working together to overcome new challenges as they arise,
to assure safe design and operations and to make the ISS a reality.
Russia When provided with
adequate resources, the Russian Space Agency (RSA) has demonstrated
worthy performance. However, despite a high level of commitment by RSA,
Russia's fiscal realities continue to impede RSA's ability to deliver
its substantial contributions to the ISS in a timely manner. Those
contributions include propulsive attitude control, reboost, early crew
quarters and life support, crew rescue, and command and control during
the early assembly period. NASA has plans for U.S. capabilities in all
these areas, which provide backup and in the long-term make ISS
operationally more robust. But the costs of delaying the assembly until
these U.S. capabilities are available would be significant; the prudent
course is to continue to seek Russia's contributions.
NASA's approach to contingency planning has been to incrementally fund
activities that permit station development to continue to move forward,
although not as originally planned, should the planned contributions of
our ISS partners not be delivered as scheduled. Our Contingency Plan to
mitigate the financial and schedule risk from potential shortfalls in
Russian contributions consists of: (1) building up U.S. capabilities as
backup to protect against possible Russian shortfalls, which will also
make the ISS more robust; and, (2) potential purchases from RSA in
specific areas where Russian goods and services are of value to the
United States.
In October 1998, to provide funding stability to RSA, NASA purchased for
$60 million valuable crew research time and stowage space in Russian
elements of the ISS. To mitigate further schedule disruptions and cost
growth, NASA is considering plans to continue contracting with RSA for
additional goods and services of value to the U.S. We are carefully
monitoring three areas before we make decisions regarding any follow-on
contract with RSA for goods and services: 1) confidence in the Service
Module launch schedule, based on successful testing, shipment to
Baikonur, and funding flow; 2) clarity on the Russian Government plans
for the future of the Mir, specifically including validation that any
extension of Mir operations will cause no interference with Russian
Government funding for their commitments; 3) clear understanding from
RSA that other Russian hardware and vehicles they have committed for ISS
are being produced. NASA has budgeted $100 million in FY 1999 to procure
goods and services, which could include a Soyuz vehicle needed by the
United States to enable a 6-person ISS crew prior to the deployment of a
U.S. crew return capability. However, this budget includes no provision
for purchases from Russia in FY 2000 and beyond. We will continue to
monitor the overall Russian situation in this regard.
The Interim Control Module (ICM), another element of NASA's contingency
plan, can provide propulsion and attitude control capability. Through
innovative Shuttle flight planning, NASA has developed an "each flight"
reboost capability, under which NASA could, if necessary, offset as much
as a 30 percent shortfall in Russian Progress vehicle propellant
logistics. We are modifying the Orbiter fleet to enhance this Shuttle
reboost capability. When coupled with the ICM's capabilities, Shuttle
reboosts will provide needed contingency protection to safely maintain
elements already in orbit, and allow us to continue ISS assembly in the
event of Russian shortfalls until a U.S. permanent propulsion module can
be deployed. As a result of our review of the Propulsion Module
requirements and implementation plan on February 17, we have authorized
the contractor to proceed with procurement of the next set of long-lead
parts, and to prepare for a Systems Requirements Review by April 1999.
Delivery of the Propulsion Module could be as early as FY 2002.
Relative to the Service Module, Mr. Koptev, RSA's Director, informed me
last month that despite running Service Module (SM) integration tests
around the clock and on weekends, some schedule slippage has occurred
due to normal technical difficulties. Our ISS management team is
currently in Russia for a Joint Program Review where RSA will provide
insight into the progress of the SM, allowing the partners to evaluate a
revised launch date for the Service Module. During our assessment last
April, we knew that the July 1999 schedule for SM launch was aggressive
and that a September date was possible. This slippage does not impact
the elements already in orbit.
Mir Space Station
Over the last six months, Russian news media have been reporting on the
possibility of extending the life of the Mir space station. RSA has
repeatedly made clear that the Russian Government's top priority for
human space flight is the ISS. Any potential extension of the Mir
program would require private funding and must not in any way impact
Russia's ability to meet its commitment to the ISS program. In
mid-January, Russian Prime Minister Primakov signed a decree outlining
the conditions under which Mir could be extended on orbit on a
commercial basis. RSA indicated that a final decision on a potential
extension of Mir would be made in the Spring timeframe, depending on the
success of finding a commercial investor. Assuming no investors come
forward, RSA has stated that it intends to deorbit Mir in late summer.
RSA has publicly stated that, currently, there are no investors coming
forward. NASA is working closely with RSA to understand the status of
their Mir deorbit plans, and related implications to their ISS
commitments.
ISS Budget Last year,
the Committee heard from an outside task force of independent experts on
the projected U.S. cost for the ISS. The Task Force report specifically
highlighted the extraordinary level of complexity inherent in the ISS
and concluded that the Program had made "notable and reasonable progress
over the past four years" and faced no extraordinary or programmatic
"show-stoppers." Nonetheless, the report concluded that Program cost and
schedule projections were optimistic given the challenges ahead,
partially due to domestic cost increases and partially due to the
uncertain status of the Russian contributions.
We recognize the validity of findings of this Task Force, particularly
in the resources needed for increased risk mitigation, schedule
protection, and crew return capability. In my October 7, 1998, testimony
before the Committee on Science, I stated that the Agency would require
additional resources to continue forward with this valuable laboratory
in space. I am happy to report that the President's FY2000 budget
request provides an additional $349 million in FY 2000, and a total net
augmentation of $1.4 billion over five years, reconfirming the
Administration's strong support of the ISS. We also recognize the
recommendations of the Task Force in a number of management areas, and
recognize our fiscal responsibility to the American taxpayer to balance
all aspects of this program and manage within the resources available.
The Administration has highlighted this responsibility by establishing
the management of risks in development of the ISS as one of the
Administration's Priority Management Objectives in the President's FY
2000 Budget. We have already begun to make management improvements,
including the initiation of a new management review process for those
activities not under the prime contract, and are committed to making
continued improvements. We are also making schedule adjustments and
rephasing some content to limit the financial augmentation required.
Development
Status In 1999, development activities are phasing
down, while operations and research utilization activities are
escalating. The FY 1999 vehicle development budget is nearly $600
million below FY 1998, and the number of contractors supporting the
program is several thousand less than at the peak of the development
effort. This trend will continue this year, with several thousand
additional contractors transitioning to other tasks, such as sustaining
engineering or other non-ISS work. ISS operations planning is now well
underway. In fact, NASA is already working plans for operations that
will occur in FY 2001. Mission Control Center-Houston is already
operational, and has overall authority and responsibility for the safety
and operations of the ISS and crew. Mission Control Center-Moscow is
currently performing the actual uplink of commands, and will continue to
do so until U.S. communications and control systems become fully
operational with the U.S. Laboratory delivery to orbit in FY 2000.
Near-term, high visibility activities this year include the flight of
critical ISS spares and an external Russian cargo crane to be flown in
May 1999. This flight will be followed by the launch of the Russian
Service Module, providing the early crew quarters and ISS propulsion
systems. Next, another Shuttle logistics flight is scheduled, followed
by Shuttle flights to assemble some of the U.S. external framework,
electronics, communications, attitude control and thermal systems prior
to flight of the first crew in early 2000.
Near-term hardware development activities are focused on completion and
delivery of the U.S. airlock. The ISS involves many systems which entail
multiple, identical elements, such as the photovoltaic arrays, of which
four are planned. For the most part, the high-risk, first elements of
these systems have been delivered to KSC. This year will begin the
delivery to KSC of many of the subsequent, identical items. We will
continue Multi-Element Integration Testing (MEIT) effort on the next
complement of U.S. elements: the initial truss segment, the early
thermal control system, the first Photovoltaic Arrays, the
Canadian-built ISS robotic arm and the U.S. Laboratory, Destiny.
In 2000, we will launch the first ISS crew to orbit, as the launch of
the first Soyuz to ISS enables permanent crew capability for three
people. Microgravity research capability will be available in the spring
of 2000, with the outfitting of the U.S. laboratory, Destiny. When Phase
II of ISS is complete in late FY 2000, the Station configuration will
include Unity, Destiny, pressurized mating adapters, power, airlock, and
Multi-Purpose Logistics Module (MPLM); Zarya, the Russian Service Module
and Soyuz; and the Space Station remote manipulator system (SSRMS)
provided by Canada. By early 2003, the ISS configuration will also
include the second U.S. node, truss segments, three solar arrays, the
Japanese Experiment Module (JEM) and resupply/support vehicles. In 2004,
U.S. Station development efforts will near completion, with the delivery
of a six-crew capability on orbit.
International
Partners The work of NASA's other international
partners on the ISS program is proceeding well and according to plan.
All of the partners have stated their commitment to do whatever possible
to help Russia fulfill its obligations to the ISS program and to ensure
that the program remains on track.
NASA is also working aggressively with all of its partners to ensure
that all ISS components are fully Y2K compliant. When I attended the
historic launch of Zarya from Baikonur on November 20, 1998, I had the
opportunity to meet with the head of each partner agency on the Year
2000 issue. Each agency gave an in-depth presentation on their work to
ensure full Y2K compliance, and reiterated the commitment to achieve
compliance early this year.
The various international components of the ISS are progressing nicely.
The Canadian Space Station Remote Manipulator System, or "Robotic Arm,"
will be shipped to Kennedy Space Center in April, after stringent
testing. The European Laboratory development is on schedule and NASA is
continuing discussions with the European Space Agency (ESA) about the
possibility of ESA providing critical crew rescue vehicle components.
The second Multi-Purpose Logistics Module (MPLM), built by Italy, is
scheduled for delivery to Kennedy Space Center in August. The Japanese
Experiment Module and Centrifuge Accommodations Module (CAM) development
is on schedule. Finally, the Brazilian Space Agency has selected its
prime contractor and is proceeding with its hardware contributions.
Research
Utilization We are continuing to make progress on ISS
research planning and facilities development. However, because of
schedule delays and the need to bolster development reserves, we have
slowed the development of research equipment. Assuming that the Service
Module is launched by September 1999, we estimate that the
Russian-driven delay to the assembly sequence already has slipped
utilization flights on average 6-8 months. The research funding for ISS
is still growing and will, in fact, double by FY 2001 over FY 1998
levels, but the rate of growth is slower than previously planned. As a
result, some funding for research facility development has been rephased
from FY 2000-2003 into FY 2004 and beyond.
We are focused on developing most of the permanent research facilities,
while leaving adequate margin in the research utilization budgets for
some investigation-specific hardware. Our approach is to: protect
research facility hardware deployment and schedules; maintain multi-use
hardware schedules (EXPRESS Racks and Pallets, Window Observation
Research Facility ); maintain planned flight investigation buildup rate
to the maximum extent possible, fund research utilization (experiment
unique hardware and support), sub-rack integration at approximately 70
percent of that previously planned; and fund payload operations and
integration (analytical integration, operations facilities, training) at
approximately 85 percent of that previously planned. The ISS program
will continue to emphasize the early research program by utilizing
recently added Shuttle logistics flights, accelerating the Human
Research Facility, and adding two EXPRESS racks to assembly flights 5A.1
and 6A in FY 2000.
ISS
Commercialization We were pleased with the passage of
the Commercial Space Act of 1998 (P.L. 105-303). This visionary step
will serve the American people well by demonstrating our government's
commitment to the economic development of space. NASA is dedicated to
continuing its leadership in this important area. In conjunction with
the Act, we released our draft Commercial Development Plan for the
International Space Station last November. The ISS represents a platform
in space of unprecedented capability. We envision that it will become a
seed for emerging commercial activity in the coming decade and we are
moving ahead to ensure this outcome.
Our goal is to serve as a marketplace foundation and stimulate a
national economy for space products and service in low-Earth orbit,
where both demand and supply area dominated by the private sector. In
partnership with the private sector, we plan to initiate a series of
pathfinder activities that could lead to businesses with profitable
operations over the long run and that become self-sustaining without
public funding. One area we are examining closely is the provision of
ISS resupply and servicing by multiple commercial competitors. Our draft
Commercial Development Plan provides a summary of both our overall
strategy and potential tactics we intend to pursue in the coming years.
It will also benefit from a private sector review, now underway, and the
independent market studies and cost analyses which we have recently
initiated. We look forward to reporting our progress as we open the path
for 21st century economic expansion in space.
X-38 and CRV The Crew
Return Vehicle (CRV) will provide a seven-person crew return capability
for the ISS, beginning no earlier than 2004. The Space Transportation
Architecture Studies (STAS) are assessing the role of systems that
provide not only return, but also delivery of humans to orbit in a range
of potential future architectures. Based on the STAS architecture
concepts, NASA is evaluating the potential of a CRV to evolve to serving
a dual-purpose role, or evolve to a Crew Transfer Vehicle (CTV) that can
deliver and return humans. NASA will finalize the CRV requirements and
issue a draft Request for Proposals (FP) for comment before finalizing
the plan for the CRV. The results of the STAS and the potential role of
a CRV/CTV in potential future architectures will be integrated into the
final CRV plan.
Space Shuttle The Space
Shuttle Program completed four flights in FY 1998. FY 1999 began
successfully with STS-95 in October, the mission on which Senator John
Glenn returned to flight. Most recently, STS-88 opened a new era for the
Space Shuttle - support of the assembly operations for the International
Space Station. No longer just a research platform, the Shuttle is now
fulfilling its original objectives, as the workhorse that will carry
equipment, supplies and the personnel required to assemble the
International Space Station during the next several years.
During 1998, the Super Lightweight Tank was successfully flight
demonstrated, increasing payload capacity to ISS by over 7000 lbs. The
SSME Block IIA improvements, which improved the reliability on ascent,
clearly demonstrate that NASA's investment in safety and supportability
initiatives have dramatically improved the performance and reliability
of the fleet.
In 1998, the Space Shuttle Programs principal operational contract, the
Space Flight Operations Contract (SFOC), now in its third year, made
great strides. All of the Phase I contracts have been successfully
incorporated and the first of the Phase II production contracts, the
Solid Rocket Booster project, transitioned to SFOC in July 1998. The
External Tank project is scheduled to move under SFOC in FY 2000. The
smooth transition of other projects to the SFOC is expected to occur as
major development activities are completed.
This year, the Shuttle will support ISS logistics and assembly flights
and a number of research objectives. In addition to setting the stage to
begin ISS utilization, the Shuttle Program is prepared to launch the
Advanced X-ray Facility (AXAF), now called Chandra, and a payload for
the National Imagery and Mapping Agency (NIMA).
When the Orbiter Atlantis returns to flight later this year, after its
recently completed Orbiter Maintenance Down Period and installation of
major modifications, it will take advantage of numerous other upgrades.
Examples are: - The Multifunction Electronic Display System
(MEDS), a Phase I upgrade, is a state-of-the-art integrated display
system used in the cockpit of the orbiter.
- The Micro-meteoroid and orbital debris (MMOD) protection system for
the Orbiter radiators and wings, a Phase II upgrade, protects the
vehicle from the potential damage to critical systems while in
orbit.
- Solid Rocket Booster aft skirt improvements reduce risk during
initial seconds after main engine ignition.
NASA continues to
place the highest priority on the safe launch, operation and return of
the Space Shuttle and crew. While we continue to seek efficiencies in
the Space Shuttle Program, the FY 2000 budget of $2,986.2 million will
enable the system to successfully meet its goals: 1) fly safely; 2) meet
the flight manifest serving diverse customers; 3) improve
supportability; and 4) improve the system. The Space Shuttle Program's
FY 2000 budget remains constant, with a slight decrease of $12 million
from FY 1999. We continue to seek efficiencies in the Space Shuttle
Program. The Space Shuttle manifest currently reflects eight missions
scheduled to fly during FY 2000 - seven ISS assembly flights and the
third Hubble Space Telescope servicing mission.
Space Shuttle Operations ($2,547.4 million) includes sustaining
engineering, hardware production, ground processing, launch and landing,
mission operations, flight crew operations, training, and logistics.
Funding for Safety and Performance Upgrades ($438.8 million) provides
for modifications and improvements to the flight elements and ground
facilities including expansion of safety and operating margins. This
budget also includes supportability upgrades, which will be used to
develop systems to combat obsolescence of vehicle and ground systems in
order to maintain the program's viability into the next century.
This budget will enable the enhancement of the Space Shuttle vehicle
capabilities as well as the replacement of obsolete systems and
components. We will address vendor loss, aging components, high repair
cost of Shuttle-specific devices, and negative environmental impacts of
some out-dated technologies.
Since 1992, Shuttle program costs have decreased by about 37% (factoring
in inflation), while significantly improving flight safety. As we
continue to look for efficiencies, we will also look for opportunities
to improve the system, including reducing the standard manifest time
period and simplifying the payload review process to allow flexibility
for the science community. The Space Shuttle continues to prove itself
as the most versatile, robust, and reliable space vehicle in use today.
Consolidated Space Operations Contract (CSOC)
On September 25, 1998, NASA awarded the Consolidated Space
Operations Contract (CSOC) to a team led by Lockheed Martin. This
contract (base period of five years, and an option period of five years)
began on January 1, 1999, when five current space operations contracts
transitioned to CSOC. During the remainder of the CSOC program, 10 other
existing space operations contracts will transition to CSOC. The CSOC
contract provides a new approach to space flight operations,
consolidating and privatizing operations facilities under a single
contract. Over the potential 10-year life of the contract, CSOC is
expected to provide cost savings to the taxpayer of $1.4B in the conduct
of Space Communications and Mission Operations for NASA Missions.
The major features of the CSOC Integrated Operations Architecture (IOA)
that define the implementation are: - Consolidation of mission
and data services;
- Application of architectural changes, based on commercially
developed technology;
- Centralization & automation; and
- Conversion to commercial providers
NASA has applied a
25% small business goal to the CSOC contract. Lockheed Martin and its
teammates, AlliedSignal and CSC, propose to meet this target and are in
the process of implementing the necessary actions to meet the goal.
Inherent in the successful implementation of CSOC are reductions in the
contractor work force supporting space operations at five NASA Centers
over the 10-year period of performance. There will be initial reductions
to the work force at the beginning of the CSOC program, and these
reductions are currently being implemented. Following this transition,
work force impact is, on average, slightly less than 100 jobs per year
in total at all five NASA centers. The CSOC contractor team expects to
absorb these out-year-staffing reductions based on natural attrition and
reassignment of employees to other non-CSOC programs.
Life
and Microgravity Sciences and Applications NASA's Office of
Life and Microgravity Sciences and Applications (OLMSA) is eagerly
looking forward to the remarkable new opportunities that will be
available on the ISS. Our ISS Phase I Program and scientific experiments
on Spacelab gave us tremendous insight into the possibilities as well as
the challenges we will encounter as the ISS becomes fully operational.
Our past successes provide the foundation upon which future research
will be based. In FY 1998, NASA supported a total of 850 ongoing,
peer-reviewed investigations. Preliminary analysis suggests that the
commercial cost share investment with NASA in space products and service
development for FY 1998 was approximately $45M. Twenty-one new industry
partners joined OLMSA's Commercial Space Centers. The organizational
merger of our basic science and commercial research elements is
beginning to show synergies and efficiencies as the two groups work
together to solve common problems and to use common hardware.
We look forward to increased commercial applications of NASA research.
Understanding the structure of a virus is key to understanding its
behavior. Dr. Alex MacPherson published a structure of the satellite
tobacco mosaic virus at far greater resolution (1.8 Angstrom) than has
ever been published before. Mosaic virus crystals grown in space
increased by a factor of four over crystals grown on the ground. Basic
discoveries in this field may hold great potential for supporting
near-term commercial applications. For example, Biocryst
Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and Johnson & Johnson have agreed to
collaborate on the development of a drug (neuraminidase) to treat
influenza. BioCryst used data from protein crystals grown on Earth and
in space to develop four lead product candidates that have performed
strongly in pre-clinical trials against both influenza A and B.
We had two exciting science flights last year. The Neurolab Mission in
April 1998, a NASA contribution to the "Decade of the Brain," helped to
expand understanding of how the nervous system develops, functions in,
and adapts to a microgravity environment. We performed 26 peer-reviewed
investigations and collected a wide range of physiological and behavior
data in-flight and post-flight. STS-95, in October 1998, flew a SpaceHab
module dedicated to multidisciplinary research. This mission marked the
first space flight collaboration between NASA and the National Institute
on Aging. It carried 26 commercial research experiments sponsored
through NASA's Commercial Space Centers. Senator John Glenn's
involvement highlighted health care and healthy aging. The wealth of
scientific data accumulated during this flight will help validate
apparent symptomatic similarities between the effects of space flight
and aging.
In FY 1999, preparation for use of the ISS will continue. In order to
maximize return on the ISS investment, we will continue to build up and
maintain a community of over 900 experienced principal investigators. We
are committed to continue this buildup in FY 2000. The Commercial Space
Centers plan to add 9 new industry affiliates and 10 new university
affiliates in 1999. To enhance science and technology development
activities in an era of constrained budgets, NASA continues to leverage
resources through partnerships and cooperative ventures.
The FY 2000 budget request for OLMSA, $256.2 million, will support a
variety of activities on ISS, the Space Shuttle, and on the ground.
Early in the assembly phase of the ISS, research will concentrate on
small-scale investigations, an approach that has been successfully
demonstrated on both the Space Shuttle and on the Russian Mir space
station. We will study the environment, habitability, and safety. To
help maintain NASA's research communities during the ISS build-up, NASA
plans to add a SpaceHab research mission (STS-107) in early FY 2001.
Increased Shuttle middeck locker opportunities using both the
utilization and assembly flights have been part of ISS planning. In
addition, we are developing a plan for a stand-by research mission which
can be inserted into the Shuttle Manifest should the opportunity arise.
Research opportunities aboard the ISS will start in earnest with the
arrival of the crew and the Human Research Facility (HRF) in early 2000.
The HRF will help us understand the basic mechanisms of adaptation to
microgravity and help develop and validate countermeasures to maintain
crew health on orbit. NASA will continue to augment its efforts in
validating countermeasures with research carried out by the National
Space Biomedical Research Institute (NSBRI), and ground-based research
and technology programs. One of the major concerns is the biological
impact to the crews of the effects of radiation. NASA, through
peer-reviewed research and in cooperation with organizations such as
Loma Linda University, Brookhaven National Laboratories, and NIH, is
developing countermeasures to increase predictability of biological
damage and lower risk to crew health.
We will continue to pursue innovative sensor technologies. We plan to
create an Environmental Systems Commercial Space Center to foster
commercial interest and participation in research and technology
development for recycling air and water and monitoring the spacecraft
cabin environment.
Gravitational Biology and Ecology flight experiments in FY 2000 will
provide information on the effects of microgravity on plant growth and
development, and the effects of gravity on plant photosynthesis and
respiration. Research will begin in evolutionary biology with
participation of at least five research institutions. Flight research on
the effects of microgravity on avian development will be carried out and
research proposals on biologically inspired technologies will be
implemented. Microgravity Research flight experiments in FY 2000 in the
area of colloid physics will help refine the technologies required for
photonic devices used in optical communications and computing.
Space Science Enterprise
NASA's Space Science program is scientifically robust and more ambitious
than ever. It is also more streamlined, effective, and cost-efficient to
the U. S. taxpayer. Beginning with the launch of the Deep Space 1
mission on October 24, 1998, the Space Science Enterprise entered a
nine-month period in which it will have ten launches. Six missions have
already been launched successfully: DS-1; two Mars '98 Surveyors and the
piggyback DS-2 microprobes; four payloads on STS-95; the Submillimeter
Wave Astronomy Satellite; and Stardust, a comet sample-return mission.
Later this month we will launch the Widefield Infrared Explorer (WIRE)
from Vandenberg Air Force Base. In April, we will launch the Tomographic
Experiment using Radiative Recombinative Ionospheric Extreme
Ultra-Violet and Radio Sources (TERRIERS) spacecraft. In late May or
early June, we will launch the Far Ultraviolet Spectroscopic Explorer
(FUSE) aboard a Delta rocket. To round out this busy launch period, we
hope to launch AXAF, recently renamed the Chandra X-ray Observatory,
aboard STS-93 in the July timeframe. In recent months, technical
problems with circuit boards identical to those in Chandra were
discovered in a non-NASA satellite. Testing continues to proceed with
these circuit boards on the Chandra observatory. I want to assure you
that we will not launch Chandra until we have thoroughly tested all
boards and ensured the proper operation of the door, and are comfortable
that every precaution has been taken to ensure mission success.
But this intense launch schedule is only part of the story, because the
existing Space Science programs and missions continue to deliver a
wealth of new scientific data and insight.
Results from the Mars Global Surveyor (MGS) and Mars Pathfinder
spacecraft show mineralogical and topographic evidence confirming
earlier indications that Mars had abundant water and thermal activity in
its early history. Measurements from the spectrometer aboard MGS show a
remarkable accumulation of the mineral hematite, well-crystallized
grains of ferric oxide that typically originate from thermal activity
and standing bodies of water. Measurements by the Mars Orbiter Laser
Altimeter (MOLA) aboard MGS are providing striking new views of Mars'
north pole and the processes that have shaped it. MOLA data reveal that
the 750-mile-diameter polar ice cap has a maximum thickness of 1.8
miles. The cap is cut by canyons and troughs that scientists believe
were carved by wind and evaporation of ice.
Closer to home, the Discovery program's Lunar Prospector spacecraft has
provided further indications of water ice at the Moon's poles, which
remains under scientific debate. The spacecraft has recently entered a
lower lunar orbit for even more precise mapping activities. Although its
orbital capture has been delayed by about a year, the Near Earth
Asteroid Rendezvous mission performed a swingby of its target asteroid,
Eros, adding to our still small inventory of in-situ data on small
bodies.
Further out in the Solar System, the Galileo spacecraft continues to
provide insights into the mysteries of Jupiter and its moons. Last year,
I reported that Galileo found very strong evidence of a subsurface
liquid ocean on the Jovian moon Europa. Recent data from Galileo suggest
that Callisto, another moon of Jupiter, may also have a liquid ocean
under its icy, cratered crust. The common evidence for past or present
liquid water on Mars, Europa, and Callisto provides a key initial step
in our Origins program. Galileo images have also shown how Jupiter's
intricate, swirling ring system is formed by dust kicked up as
interplanetary meteoroids smash into the giant planet's four small inner
moons.
The Hubble Space Telescope continued its impressive performance. This
year, Hubble observations made a watershed event in astronomythe
first potential direct image of a planet outside our solar
systemanother key initial step for Origins. A "long exposure"
infrared image taken with the NICMOS camera has allowed astronomers to
peer into a previously unseen realm of the universe and uncover the
faintest galaxies ever seen. During the STS-95 mission last fall, a
suite of new instruments and technologies were tested and validated to
ensure the success of Hubble's third servicing mission in 2000.
Last year we confirmed the existence of a special class of neutron
stars, now dubbed "magnetars." Magnetars are dense balls of super-heavy
matter, no larger than a city, but weighing more than the Sun. They have
the greatest magnetic field known in the Universe, so intense that it
powers a steady glow of X-rays from the star's surface, often punctuated
by brief, intense gamma-ray flashes, and occasionally by cataclysmic
flares like the one observed on August 27, 1998. Our own star provided
surprises as the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) team
dramatically recovered from what was thought to be a lost mission, and
obtained the first evidence of long-theorized quakes on the surface of
the Sun. Another important first for NASA Space Science is the ongoing
demonstration of ion main propulsion and other new technologies on the
Deep Space 1 technology validation spacecraft.
We have learned some fascinating new things about our own star, the Sun,
as well. Last May, the first images from NASA's Transition Region and
Coronal Explorer spacecraft revealed activity in the solar atmosphere in
stunning detail and included the first detailed observations of a
magnetic energy release, called a magnetic reconnection. Less than a
month later, SOHO, a NASA/European Space Agency mission, revealed a rare
celestial spectacle: two comets plunging into the Sun's atmosphere in
close succession. In July, scientists confirmed for the first time that
solar flares produce seismic waves in the Sun's interior that resemble
those created by earthquakes. (Enough energy was released from that
quake to power the United States for 20 years at its current level of
consumption.)
This year has certainly been impressive, but we are very excited about
what is ahead as well. The proposed budget of $2.197 billion, an
increase of $77 million over last year's budget, continues to support a
strong and well balanced Space Science program that will allow us to
carry on research of the Sun, the Solar System, and the Universe. It
maintains support for the Origins Initiative to search for planets
around other stars, to study galaxies and stars as they are born, and to
look for evidence of life elsewhere in the solar system and the
universe. The FY 2000 budget also maintains support for a multitude of
ongoing missions.
The budget request features five new items in the Space Science
Enterprise. Two new program elements are funded in the Mars Surveyor
program beginning in FY 2000: Mars Network and Micromissions. Mars
Network will develop communications capability to provide a substantial
increase in bandwidth and connectivity from Mars to Earth, thus greatly
improving the scientific and educational return for this ongoing
program. Mars Micromissions will provide low-cost capability for
delivering small payloads, including telecommunications elements of the
Mars network. Competitively selected Micromissions will deliver up to a
50-kg science payload to Mars to collect high-priority scientific data.
The first planned Mars Micromission is the "Mars Airplane," which will
commemorate the 100th anniversary the Wright brothers'
historic first flight in 2003.
Also in the FY 2000 request, the Cross-Enterprise Technology program
budget is augmented to include funding for three initiatives:
Self-Sustaining Robotic Networks; Gossamer Spacecraft; and Next Decade
Planning. Self-Sustaining Robotic Networks will build on the success of
Mars Pathfinder. This initiative's goal is to extend ongoing advances in
spacecraft automation and miniaturization technologies to produce
self-tasking, self-repairing mobile robots for permanent, "virtual
presence" planetary science and exploration outposts in challenging
environments. The Gossamer Spacecraft initiative provides additional
funding to develop and demonstrate the deployment, control, and utility
of ultra-lightweight deployable structures. These structures can be used
as sun shields, ultra-large telescopes, solar arrays, antennas, or solar
sails, and will revolutionize a wide variety of missions, including
those of other agencies such as NOAA and the Air Force. Next Decade
Planning will support the improved, Agency-wide planning to develop and
refine concepts and technologies for a robust menu of potential future
civil space programs.
As we continue to explore our Universe, we bring scientific benefit not
only to the space science community, but to America's taxpayers and
citizens of the world. Our Space Science program is exciting and
relevant, as attested to by numerous front-page stories and magazine
covers, and by World Wide Web interest in this field in the past few
years. NASA has made countless scientific discoveries and advances over
its 40-year history, but stay tuned - there is much more to come.
Earth Science Enterprise
Since its creation in 1958, NASA has been studying the Earth and its
changing environment by observing the atmosphere, oceans, and land, and
their influence on climate and weather. The perspective afforded since
the beginning of the space age planted a growing seed of
knowledgewe now understand that the key to gaining a better
understanding of the global environment is exploring how the Earth's
systems of air, land, water, and life interact with each other. This
approach, called Earth System Science, integrates fields like
meteorology, oceanography, biology, geology, and atmospheric sciences.
The Earth Science Enterprise continued to make great progress through
1998. We have recently revealed evidence to suggest that the 1997-98 El
Niño event may have been a major contributor to the average
global sea level rising about eight-tenths of an inch before it returned
to normal levels, according to scientists studying TOPEX/ Poseidon
satellite measurements of sea surface height. While NASA can accurately
measure global sea level rise today, we really need a decade or more of
sustained research before we can say with certainty whether there is a
definitive link between sea level variation and climate change. The
SeaWiFS instrument on Orbview-2, a commercial satellite launched in
1997, is providing data on ocean biological productivity for NASA
research, and the firm is marketing these same data to the commercial
fishing, oil, and shipping industries. The data are being procured
by NASA as a "data buy" from the commercial supplier.
NASA has also begun to measure rainfall in the tropics and sub-tropics.
Approximately two-thirds of the global rainfall occurs within the
tropics, directly influencing our day-to-day weather, according to
scientists studying measurements of sea surface height from the
US/French TOPEX/Poseidon mission. The Tropical Rainfall Measuring
Mission (TRMM), a joint endeavor with Japan which was launched in 1997,
is for the first time delivering accurate measurements of precipitation
over the global tropical oceans, a critical indicator of climate
patterns over the whole world.
Polar regions also have a major influence on moderating the Earth's
climate. Until the fall of 1997, Antarctica, a region the size of Canada
and Alaska combined, had never been fully mapped at high spatial
resolutions. The Antarctic Mapping Mission (AMM) is accomplishing this
mapping using data from the Canadian Radarsat satellite in which NASA is
a partner.
While 1998 was an outstanding year for Earth Science results, missions
launched in 1999 and beyond promise to increase our fundamental
understanding of the Earth system. We have 30 Earth Science launches
scheduled over the next five years. The President's budget request for
Earth Science for FY 2000 is $1.459 billion.
The Earth Observing System (EOS), the largest element of NASA's Earth
Science Enterprise ($663.2 Million for FY 2000), is a program of
multiple spacecraft designed to provide measurements of the key,
multi-disciplinary parameters needed to understand global climate
change. The first EOS spacecraft -- EOS AM-1 and Landsat-7 -- represent
2 of the 8 missions the Earth Science Enterprise will launch this year.
These missions, plus the EOS PM-1 and Chemistry-1 missions, will help
achieve the fundamental EOS measurements, which will begin our
understanding of the Earth system. PM-1 and Chemistry-1 remain on track
for launch in 2000 and 2002, respectively. The EOS program also includes
several small spacecraft such as the U.S.-French TOPEX/ Poseidon
follow-on mission known as Jason-1, QuikScat, Ice, Cloud and Land
Elevation Satellite (ICESAT), Solstice, and the Active Cavity Radiometer
Irradiance Monitor (ACRIM) satellite.
The Earth Probes program ($138.2 Million for FY 2000) addresses
specific, highly focused Earth science questions that are new or
complementary with other parts of NASA 's Earth Science enterprise. It
also has the flexibility to take advantage of new opportunities in
international cooperation or technical innovation. Currently approved
Earth Probes include the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer-EP and the
Earth System Science Pathfinder missions (the Vegetation Canopy Lidar
and the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment). A new US/French ESSP
mission called PICASSO-CENA was selected in December 1998 to study the
Earth's atmosphere in tandem with the EOS-PM-1 satellite.
A parallel series of New Millennium program missions is being developed
to validate advanced technology for future Earth Science spacecraft. The
Earth Orbiter-1 mission will demonstrate an advanced land imaging system
with a hyperspectral and multispectral capability starting in 1999. The
Space-Readiness Coherent Lidar Experiment will fly in the cargo bay of a
Space Shuttle in 2001 to test whether a space-based sensor can
accurately measure atmospheric winds from the surface to a height of ten
miles. Atmospheric winds determine the transport of energy and chemical
constituents across the Earthhence an important parameter for
weather prediction. Recognizing the high value of ocean winds data, we
have rapidly developed a replacement mission for the failed NSCAT
mission called QuikScat, which was ready for launch in November
1998only 18 months after the loss of NSCAT. Safety concerns with
the QuikScat's launch vehicle will push the launch into the spring of
1999. We are also purchasing ocean wind vector data during this interim
period between NSCAT and QuikScat.
The EOS Data Information System (EOSDIS $231.5 Million for FY 00)
has been serving thousands of users by providing available data and
information from NASA-sponsored programs since September 1995. EOSDIS
will operate the EOS spacecraft, and acquire and distribute the basic
data gathered by them. An essential element of EOSDIS, the Flight
Operations Segment (FOS) was to provide command and control of EOS
spacecraft including the upcoming launch of EOS-AM-1. FOS experienced
serious schedule and performance problems throughout 1998, which
resulted in replacement of an essential element of FOS with a
commercial, off-the-shelf system developed by Raytheon. This new system
has enabled EOSDIS to progress toward the goal of meeting all ESE
mission needs from now through 2002. Command and control of the EOS-AM-1
mission is currently on schedule for meeting the July 1999 launch date.
In addition, EOSDIS is also on track to support operations of the PM-1
(12/00), ICESat (7/01) and Chemistry (11/02) spacecraft.
The Triana mission is an Earth observation spacecraft to be located at
the Earth-Sun LaGrange-1 point providing a near-term real time,
continuous high definition color view of the full Sun-lit disc of the
Earth. This mission will carry three major scientific experiments to
make the first direct measurements of the solar radiant power reflected
by the Earth, to make global aerosol and ozone measurements, and to
observe solar wind. A selection was made in October 1998 for the Scripps
Institution of Oceanography to conduct the Triana mission with the
Goddard Space Flight Center. Launch is scheduled for December 2000.
Along with basic Earth Science research, we also conduct Applications
Research to help universities and State & local governments apply
remote sensing data and science to practical problems. We have
established five Regional Earth Science Applications Centers (RESACs) to
target efforts on specific regional issues. The Commercial Remote
Sensing Program (CRSP) at the Stennis Space Center works with industry
to extend the utility of ESE's science data within the broader U.S.
economy. Through partnerships with CRSP, companies gain assistance in
product development and in validation of new remote sensing instruments.
In 1992, CRSP, along with KPMG Peat Marwick, performed a study that
valued the remote sensing and geospatial market at $850 million
annually, using airborne platforms. In 1998, due to NASA's strides in
Earth Observations satellite R&D and corporate commitments, the
market was valued at $2 billion. With the anticipated operations of
commercial, space-based, high-resolution systems, low-cost positioning
data from GPS, enhanced internet access to data and value-added
information, underpinned by low-cost, high-performance work stations,
industry is projecting a conservative estimate of $4 billion in private
investment by 2005.
CRSP's data buy program has been active and robust. In September 1998,
NASA awarded five contracts for Phase II of the $50 million Scientific
Data Purchase. NASA is developing plans for the next data buy as the
commercial remote sensing market matures. Also last year, NASA's CRSP
entered into a five-year Joint Sponsored Research Agreement with
Mississippi for the purpose of developing commercial remote sensing
through collaborative research and public-private partnerships. This
year, CRSP will establish at least 75 commercial partnerships in
"value-added" remote sensing product development, an increase from 37 in
FY 1997. In addition, CRSP will establish at least 20 agreements with
industry in support of other federal agency needs. In FY 2000, the CRSP
will focus Earth Observing Commercial Applications Program (EOCAP) joint
commercial applications research to develop 20 new-market commercial
products.
The Earth Science Enterprise balances funding across observations,
research and data analysis, applications and commercial remote sensing,
information systems, and advanced satellite technologies to ensure the
Nation has the tools to answer scientific questions about the Earth, and
to put these answers to work for the benefit of society. Earth science
is science in the national interest, and NASA is committed to its
success.
Aero-Space Technology
Enterprise
The Aero-Space Technology Enterprise is working in an exciting and
challenging time as we revolutionize the science and technology that
powers U.S. civil aeronautics and space transportation. Last year we
presented to you an Enterprise program focused on three "Pillars" for
successGlobal Civil Aviation, Revolutionary Technology Leaps, and
Access to Spaceand a set of ten goals to address current and
future National needs. By developing high technical risk technologies,
we contribute to aviation safety, increase air system capacity, enhance
environmental compatibility, and open new opportunities in space. Within
the past year this Enterprise has had to make some hard choices. Budget
pressures, along with shifting industry and market conditions, made it
impossible to pursue with excellence all our ambitions. Rather than
spread the pain and do a little less of everything, we
established a set of priorities among the goals, and are pursuing
our top priorities as coordinated with our customers and stakeholders.
Our priority goals are aviation safety, aviation systems capacity,
next-generation design tools, ultra-efficient engine technology, general
aviation, experimental aircraft and access to space. We have
dramatically reduced our support to the high-speed civil transport and
affordability goals, canceling the High Speed Research and Advanced
Subsonic Technology Programs.
We have worked hard over the last year to take advantage of synergies
between aeronautics and space transportation activities and are
increasing funding in the latter. We have made significant progress in
defining the contribution of our existing projects and programs to the
goals. We believe these goals will help us better manage our research
activities while fostering a better understanding of these activities
for the American people. The President's proposed budget for FY 2000 of
$1.0065 billion is focused on maximizing a return to our highest
priority goals.
Aeronautics
We are proud of our past accomplishments in two focused programs, High
Speed Research (HSR) and Advanced Subsonic Technology (AST). Although
dramatic advances were made against the original HSR program goals, our
industry partners indicated that product development would be
significantly delayed, which led to the decision to terminate this
program at the end of FY 1999. The need to refocus our technology
efforts from industrial competitiveness issues to a broader, more public
policy-oriented emphasis resulted in the decision to terminate the AST
program at the end of FY 1999.
The aeronautics budget request, $620.1 million, enables us to pursue a
new focused program, Aviation Safety, as our top aeronautics priority.
As global GDP expands over the next decade by an annual rate of 3 to
4-percent, demand for air travel will dramatically increase - it is
expected to triple within 20 years. Great strides have been made over
the last 40 years to make flying the safest of all major modes of
transportation. However, even today's low accident rate is not good
enough and if air traffic triples as predicted, this rate will be
totally unacceptable. The national goal is to reduce the aircraft
accident rate by a factor of five within 10 years, and by a factor of 10
within 20 years. In addition to accident rate reduction, we will work to
decrease injuries and fatalities when accidents do occur. We are also
working on aviation system technologies that could support pilots and
air traffic controllers. Safety is also a top priority of the FAA. We
are working closely with FAA, manufacturers and airlines to prioritize
on technology efforts and to ensure their rapid implementation in order
to meet our aggressive safety goal. FAA is responsible for the operation
and near-term research and development of the National Air Traffic
System, while NASA conducts the longer-term, higher-risk research and
development. Last October, we signed an MOA with the FAA to solidify our
cooperation in this area.
Our FY 2000 budget also support the Aviation Systems Capacity (ASC)
Program, which builds on research we have conducted over the past few
years in the Advanced Subsonic Technology program. Our goal in capacity
is "while maintaining safety, triple the aviation system throughput, in
all weather conditions, within 10 years." This is absolutely required if
the aviation system is to keep up with demand and allow the predicted
growth in air travel to occur. The ASC program is looking at
modernization and improvements in the Air Traffic Management System and
the introduction of new vehicle classes which can potentially reduce
congestion. Efficient and flexible routing, scheduling and sequencing of
aircraft in all weather conditions are critical to meeting capacity
demands. As in safety, we are working closely with FAA on this program.
I am very excited about our work in experimental aircraft. On August 6,
1998, the solar-powered Pathfinder Remotely Piloted Aircraft broke its
own world altitude record for a solar-powered aircraft by almost 10,000
feet, and established a world record for propeller driven aircraft of
80,201 feet. This flight was another step in meeting the challenge of
flying a solar powered aircraft at 100,000 feet. In another first, an
international cooperative project with the Russian Central Institute of
Aviation Motors achieved the first extended supersonic combustion in
flight using a scramjet flown to Mach 6. The X-43 (HYPER-X) research
vehicle, which is an air-breathing, dual-mode scramjet-powered plane
capable of speeds up to Mach 10, will be delivered this year and will
have its first powered flight ( to Mach 7) in FY 2000. Experimental
aircraft such as these are invaluable tools for exploring new concepts
and for complementing and strengthening laboratory research. In the very
demanding environment of flight, X-planes are used to test innovative,
high-risk concepts, accelerating their development into design and
technology applications.
We are pioneering a new safe and efficient general aviation air
transportation system that will allow us to travel up to four times
faster than we can by car from doorstep to destination, even if that
doorstep or destination is a small community many miles from a large hub
airport. To make this possible, NASA has been working and will continue
to work on advances in propulsion and avionics that will make general
aviation affordable and safe.
Our FY 2000 budget includes the Ultra Efficient Engine Technology
Program and REVCON, or revolutionary concepts. The Ultra Efficient
Engine Technology Program will enable the next breakthroughs in
propulsion systems that will spawn a new generation of high-performance,
operationally efficient, economically viable and environmentally
compatible U.S. aircraft. We will develop and demonstrate breakthrough
technologies in propulsion component and high-temperature engine
materials which can create future commercial and military propulsion
systems which are simpler, achieve higher performance, and do less
damage to the environment. REVCON is a process that will develop
concepts that are a revolutionary departure from traditional approaches
to aeronautical design. We will fully utilize the next-generation design
tools we are developing to produce substantial benefits in concept
development. REVCON will change fundamentally the way systems are
designed and accelerate the transition of high-risk/high-payoff
technology from the laboratory to flight.
Advanced
Space Transportation Technology
The Advanced Space Transportation Technology program supports our
"Access to Space" pillar. Our goal is to completely revitalize access to
space by reducing launch costs dramatically over the next decade,
increasing the safety and reliability of current and next generation
launch vehicles, and establishing new plateaus of performance for
in-space propulsion while reducing cost and weight. We are committed to
developing technology that will reduce the payload cost to low-Earth
orbit by an order of magnitude, from $10,000 to $1,000 per pound, within
10 years. The budget request, $254 million, fully supports this goal.
NASA's Reusable Launch Vehicle (RLV) Program includes both ground-based
technology development and flight demonstrators (X-33, X-34, Future-X
Pathfinder vehicles) to validate key component technologies, prove that
the technologies can be integrated into a functional vehicle, and
demonstrate the required operability to make low-cost access to space a
reality. Once demonstrated, we expect that these technologies will be
used by private industry to build next-generation launch vehicles that
will meet government and commercial needs at dramatically reduced costs.
Early last year the X-33's first major flight component, the liquid
oxygen tank, was placed in the vehicle's assembly structure. The X-33
launch site at Edwards Air Force Base is nearly complete. The
technologies we are developing are risky, and development problems are
not unexpected. In fact, the landing gear is the only piece of existing
hardware on the X-33. All other components require advanced development.
Recently, the X-33 program has experienced some manufacturing and
technical problems that have led to a slip in the first flight to July
2000. We are working with the industry team to resolve these problems
and expect no additional cost to the government. The X-34 also has
experienced some manufacturing difficulties that will delay the first
unpowered flight four months to September 1999; the first powered flight
is currently scheduled for February 2000. We are confident that these
problems will be overcome and these programs will provide valuable
technology for application to future space launch vehicles.
In FY 1999, we initiated the Future-X program which includes
"Pathfinder" flight experiments for demonstrations of technologies which
can further reduce the cost and increase the reliability of reusable
space launch and orbital transportation systems. We are particularly
pleased with the selection of the Advanced Technology Vehicle (ATV), the
first contract award under Future-X. The ATV includes cost-sharing by
industry and possibly the Air Force. We are working closely with the Air
Force on this program to ensure it will meet defense as well as civil
space needs. We are strengthening the links between the Advanced Space
Transportation Program, which is a technology development program, and
Future-X flight validation; we want to make more transparent the
decision-making mechanism for determining if an ASTP technology truly
requires flight validation in Future-X. ASTP will continue to push the
state-of-the-art technologies that will be flown under the Future-X
program if required for validation prior to implementation in
commercial, DOD or civil transportation systems.
We have restructured the Small-Payload Focused Project (Bantam). Its
goal is to develop and demonstrate unique technologies that will enable
the development of a reusable launch system that will launch 200 to
300-pound payloads for $1-to-$1.5 million per flight by 2004/2005. The
ground technology program, commercial market, and provider developments
will support decisions on whether to pursue a Future-X flight
demonstration of the most promising vehicle concept. Concepts currently
under study include multi-stage rockets, air-breathing combined-cycle
vehicles, magnetic levitation launch assist, and beamed-energy
laser-powered vehiclesto name a few. In FY 2000, the results of
these technology demonstrations and system level analyses of multiple
concepts will support concept down-selection. As we proceed with this
program, we will periodically solicit proposals from industry to supply
such a launch vehicle for this payload class and as with all NASA
technology programs, industry will have access to the technology as we
develop it.
Commercial Technology
Since its inception in 1958, NASA has been charged with ensuring that
NASA-developed technology is transferred to the U.S. industrial
community to improve its competitive position in world markets. The FY
2000 budget request of $132.5 million continues this important aspect of
our mission. Our commercialization effort encompasses all technologies
created at NASA centers by civil servants as well as innovations from
NASA contractors. The technology commercialization program conducts a
continuous inventory of newly developed NASA technologies, maintains an
internet-based database of this inventory, assesses the commercial value
of each technology, establishes R&D partnerships with industry for
dual use of the technology, disseminates knowledge of these NASA
technology opportunities to the private sector, and supports an
efficient system for licensing NASA technologies to private companies.
The amount requested for NASA commercialization efforts includes $97.5
million to carry out the provisions of the Small Business Innovation
Research (SBIR) Act, which requires a set-aside of 2.5% of NASA's total
extramural R&D spending for small business research grants, along
with an additional set-aside for the Small Business Technology Transfer
(STTR) Program of 0.15% of NASA's total extramural R&D spending. The
NASA SBIR program has contributed to the U.S. economy by fostering the
establishment and growth of over 1,100 small, high technology
businesses.
Conclusion
Mr. Chairman, I am proud of NASA and I am pleased with this budget. It
gives us the stability we need to continue the construction of the ISS
and to conduct cutting-edge research in science and technology. There is
no question that the ISS partnership will continue to face challenges.
But if the successes of the last few months are any indication of our
ability to jointly overcome difficulties and succeed, I look forward to
the coming year with great enthusiasm. While we are building this
magnificent international laboratory in space, we already are studying
how we can make this facility a seed for commercial space activity for
the early part of the next century, and for opening the space frontier
for human activity beyond low-Earth orbit. Like the railroads, the
Government will build it, and it will create entirely new opportunities
for private enterprise. To get there, we will continue to fly the
Shuttle safely while developing new technologies that could make space
launch more affordable and reliable. We look forward to a robust
competition for NASA's launch business among several providers in the
next decade. We will not just be going to low-Earth orbit, as NASA will
continue to push the frontiers of knowledge about our planet, our Solar
System, and our Universe. Micro-rovers will look for signs of ancient
life on Mars, and perhaps existing life on the moons of Jupiter and
Saturn, while we continue to search for planets in nearby solar systems
that could also harbor life today. This budget is the beginning of a new
era in vehicle and mission design, as we create an Integrated Synthesis
Environment that will dramatically lower costs and reduce development
times, allowing us to do even more exciting science and technology.
NASA remains committed to providing the American taxpayer with the best
possible space and aeronautics program in the world. Our accomplishments
demonstrate we are capable of that. We are determined to continue that
tradition. I truly believe the best is yet to come.
Main | Oral | Written
Created February 25, 1999
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